Empirical Analyses of Industry Stock Index Return Distributions |
Svetlozar T. Rachev |
Stoyan V. Stoyanov |
Chufang Wu |
and |
Frank J. Fabozzi |
We study the daily return distributions for 22 industry stock indexes on the Tai-wan Stock Exchange under the unconditional homoskedastic independent, identically distributed and the conditional heteroskedastic GARCH models. Two distribution hypotheses are tested: the Gaussian and the stable Paretian distributions. The performance of the stable Paretian distribution is better than that of the Gaussian distribution. A back-testing example is provided to give evidence on the superiority of the stable ARMA-GARCH to the normal ARMA-GARCH. |
Key Words: Stable distributions; ARMA-GARCH; Heavy tails; Volatility clustering; Value at risk. |
JEL Classification Numbers: C13, G10. |